world economic outlook

India’s economy is still expanding quickly, but the country is no longer fifth in the IMF’s latest global GDP rankings. A weaker rupee, dollar-based comparisons and a new GDP series help explain why the headline has changed without overturning the larger growth story

Gold price prediction today: Gold and silver prices are likely to be range bound this week, says Vedika Narvekar, Research Analyst - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

Miss India Sadhvi Sail gets a grand, emotional welcomeMiss India Sadhvi Sail gets a grand, emotional welcome

For RBI the situation is clear: The resilience of the global economy, already inflicted with trade tensions, is being tested by the conflict in West Asia. The biggest takeaway from the RBI bulletin is that India’s domestic supply chains may come under risk from a prolonged war scenario, though strong macroeconomic fundamentals provide a buffer.

In India, growth for 2025 is revised upward by 1.0 percentage point relative to October, to 7.6 percent. IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas noted that, in the absence of the conflict, growth projections for 2026 might have been revised upward to 3.4 percent.

Global oil prices surged Monday, with Brent crude hitting $107.49 and WTI reaching $96.17, driven by stalled US-Iran peace talks and ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions. This supply squeeze, exacerbated by restricted shipping, has led Goldman Sachs to revise its Q4 oil price forecasts upwards, signaling continued market volatility.

Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik has admitted that Pakistan lacks even a day’s worth of strategic petrol reserves, as oil prices climb to $126 per barrel — the highest since 2022 — amid ongoing shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz

In fact, IMF’s latest world economic outlook (April 2026) sees India sitting at the sixth spot this financial year too. What has led to the sudden fall? Why has India dropped to the sixth position, falling behind the UK, instead of overtaking Japan to become the fourth largest economy?

Coinbase is cutting about 14% of its global workforce, impacting around 700 jobs. This move is driven by the evolving role of artificial intelligence in operations and ongoing crypto market fluctuations. The company aims to streamline its structure and enhance efficiency. Restructuring is expected to conclude by the second quarter of 2026.

India's economy is set for robust growth, projected at 6.4% in 2026 and 6.6% in 2027, according to a UN report. Despite export challenges, strong domestic consumption and services sector performance are key drivers. The nation is also a leader in green job creation, with policies supporting domestic manufacturing in clean energy sectors.

India’s macro exposure to the Middle East continues to be transmitted primarily through energy and critical input prices, reflecting structurally high dependence on imported crude and natural gas.

Today is Akshaya Tritiya, an auspicious day in the Hindu calendars, believed to bring lasting prosperity and good fortune. Buying gold on this day is considered auspicious. Experts believe that returns on gold over the last few years reinforce its role as a long-term wealth preserver.

The India Meteorological Department has forecast the possibility of El Nino conditions during the South West monsoon season. Economists and experts note that a weak monsoon will add to the woes caused by higher crude oil prices, and fertilizer supply disruptions.

AI pioneer Ben Goertzel predicts human-level AGI within two to three years, warning of a significant 'job apocalypse' as most professions become obsolete. While manual labor and some creative roles may persist longer, the focus for humans will shift from earning a living to finding purpose, potentially ushering in a utopian world with more leisure time and UBI.

Global oil markets face turmoil due to the Iran-US conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. India, heavily reliant on oil imports, feels the pinch through rising inflation and borrowing costs. The Reserve Bank of India monitors the situation, opting for stability over aggressive action. Households may experience a gradual tightening of budgets as costs rise and monetary easing is delayed.

S&P Global in its latest report titled India's Strong Fundamentals Would Cushion The Blow Of An Oil Shock says India is equipped to handle some strain. The report assumes a base case scenario of oil prices at an average of $130 per barrel for 2026 and $100 in 2027.

According to RBI governor Malhotra, high frequency indicators till February, 2026 suggest the continuation of strong momentum in economic activity. Growth impulses continue to be supported by robust private consumption and investment demand.

India's nuclear ambitions have reached a pivotal stage with the Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor achieving criticality, marking a significant step in its three-stage nuclear program. This advancement positions India as a leader in advanced nuclear technology, bolstering its drive for energy self-reliance and security amidst a rapidly expanding power sector.

Global markets are in turmoil following President Trump's announcement of a naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. This move has sent crude oil prices soaring and threatens to isolate Iran, potentially triggering further escalation. India faces significant economic challenges, including a ballooning energy import bill and disruptions to its exports and workforce remittances.

Even as it is confident of India’s ability to come out of the fresh global uncertainty, RBI has flagged five risks due to the US-Iran war that could negatively impact the economy.

Even prior to the conflict, the rupee was facing downward pressure due to widening external imbalances and persistent capital outflows. The surge in oil prices has intensified these challenges for the world’s third-largest crude importer.

Accenture and Anthropic have launched Cyber.AI. This new platform uses Anthropic's Claude AI to automate and scale cybersecurity operations. It shifts security responses from human pace to continuous AI capabilities. Cyber.AI analyzes security data, providing insights across the entire cybersecurity lifecycle. This aims to address growing AI-related cyber risks for organizations.