Multiple exit polls for Assam 2026 point towards a consistent and decisive lead for the BJP-led NDA alliance across major survey agencies, including Axis My India, JVC Times Now, People Pulse, India TV / Matrize and P-Marq. Across projections, NDA is seen comfortably crossing the majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly, with seat estimates ranging from the high 60s to over 100 in some surveys. Congress-led INDIA bloc remains a distant second in most projections, with seat ranges largely between the low 20s and 40s, indicating weak seat conversion despite pockets of support. AIUDF and other regional players are projected to have a limited presence, with several polls suggesting a near-marginal impact. Leadership trends show Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma leading as the most preferred CM face, with strong support across regions and demographics, though a clear religious polarisation is visible in voter preferences. Vote share analysis suggests a relatively closer contest at the aggregate level, but a significant seat gap due to the NDA’s broader geographic and social coalition. Key issues driving voter sentiment include unemployment, illegal immigration, and corruption, while flooding appears less influential this cycle. Region-wise data shows BJP dominance across Upper, Lower, and Central Assam, reinforcing a statewide advantage. Overall, the exit poll trend indicates a clear NDA advantage heading into results day, with the opposition struggling to translate vote share into seats.