global trade tensions

Oil prices surged Friday as US-Iran tensions flared, reversing earlier declines. US strikes on Iranian targets prompted accusations of ceasefire violations, escalating fears over the vital Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical volatility overshadows concerns about suspicious trading activity linked to policy announcements, impacting global energy supplies and inflation.

China's exports surged 14.1% in April, significantly exceeding expectations and bolstering the nation's economy despite global uncertainties. This strong performance precedes a crucial meeting between US and Chinese leaders, where trade tensions and other disputes are expected to be discussed. Analysts anticipate continued export-driven growth for China this year.

Escalating Middle East conflict has choked the world's busiest oil passage, pushing crude prices past $100 per barrel with warnings of a surge to $167 or higher. A prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens a severe energy and trade shock, potentially reducing global trade growth significantly and deepening economic uncertainty worldwide.

Gold and silver prices are expected to trade within a narrow band this week, with investors closely watching US-Iran peace talks and key global economic data. Analysts noted that while gold's momentum appears steady, silver shows positive movement. Geopolitical tensions and central bank buying are also influencing precious metal markets.

Indian markets brace for volatility this week, driven by US-Iran tensions and crude oil price swings. Investors will also scrutinize crucial inflation data from India and the US for interest rate clues. Key corporate earnings are also on the radar, alongside foreign investor activity, shaping market sentiment.

The Indian rupee plunged to a record low of 95.40 against the US dollar on Tuesday, extending its decline amid escalating Middle East tensions and elevated crude oil prices. This global uncertainty is impacting financial markets, with Indian benchmark indices also trading lower. Analysts anticipate continued pressure on the rupee due to persistent dollar demand and foreign fund outflows.

Pakistan is foregoing urgent LNG purchases, betting on a swift de-escalation of Middle East tensions and the timely arrival of cheaper Qatari shipments. This risky strategy comes as the country faces a significant gas deficit and widespread electricity outages, exacerbated by disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Seeks urgent evacuation steps by govt

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declared America a priority for advanced chip sales, stating China should not have access to the "latest and greatest" AI technology. However, he urged the US not to abandon the Chinese market entirely, arguing that global sales and increased tax revenues strengthen American economic and national security.

The Indian rupee is facing significant pressure, weakening against the US dollar due to soaring crude oil prices driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions and persistent foreign fund outflows. Despite India's robust economic growth, the currency's slide continues as the Reserve Bank of India intervenes to curb volatility rather than target a specific exchange rate.

President Trump has halted 'Project Freedom,' a US military initiative to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz, citing requests from Pakistan and progress toward a deal with Iran. This pause comes after the US declared the offensive phase of 'Operation Epic Fury' complete, emphasizing defensive actions in the region.

Wall Street stocks surged on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs, buoyed by stronger-than-expected US jobs data. Despite ongoing Middle East tensions and oil price concerns, positive corporate earnings from companies like Monster Beverage and Akamai Technologies also fueled the rally, indicating economic resilience.

Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) leaders and workers protested LPG price hikes in Ranchi, citing financial strain on hotels and public hardship. They criticized the Union government's policies, comparing the situation to demonetization. The BJP countered, calling the protest a political stunt and urging the JMM to reduce state VAT on fuel, highlighting issues like electricity tariff hikes in Jharkhand.

The US has warned shipping companies against making payments to Iran for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, citing sanctions risks. This alert comes amid rising tensions and disruptions to global oil trade, with Iran rerouting vessels and charging fees. The US has also imposed a naval blockade, further straining energy markets and complicating diplomatic efforts.

The US has tightened its grip on Iran's oil revenue by sanctioning a major Chinese refinery and numerous shipping entities involved in transporting Iranian crude. This move targets a "shadow network" and escalates pressure amid regional tensions. China has criticized the sanctions, urging an end to their political use and warning of harm to legitimate trade.

India is significantly boosting defence spending and prioritizing domestic production, aiming for self-reliance and export growth. New policies like 'Make in India' and DAP 2020 are reshaping procurement, encouraging local manufacturing and foreign collaboration. Despite global supply chain challenges, indigenous production and exports are rising, signaling a strategic shift towards greater defence capability and autonomy.

Gold price prediction today: Any upside in gold and silver prices may face resistance at higher levels, says Vedika Narvekar, Research Analyst - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

UAE motorists will face higher fuel costs in May 2026 as petrol prices see another significant increase. This marks the third consecutive monthly hike, driven by global oil market instability and geopolitical tensions. The latest revisions mean higher expenses for daily commutes and businesses reliant on transportation.

The sell-off was widespread, extending beyond large-cap stocks to the broader market. The Nifty Smallcap 100 index was down 0.5%, while the Nifty Midcap 100 index fell more than 1%.

Market analysts have shifted from the 'TACO' nickname for President Trump to 'NACHO' amid escalating tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. This new label reflects growing skepticism that the crucial global energy route will reopen soon, despite ongoing diplomatic efforts and trade disputes.

Global oil prices surged to a four-year high amid escalating US-Iran tensions and fears of a Strait of Hormuz closure, impacting gasoline prices and broader economies. Analysts warn of a potential global recession due to supply disruptions, with shortages already affecting various goods. Experts predict further price hikes until the strait reopens.

Asian Development Bank Chief Economist Albert Park forecasts elevated crude oil prices, averaging $96 per barrel in 2026 and $80 in 2027, due to prolonged Middle East tensions. This outlook suggests a 0.6% reduction in India's GDP growth for FY27, pushing inflation to 6.9% amid reliance on imported oil and gas.