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How Tehran Is Controlling Global Trade Without Firing a War| Mojtaba Khamenei

| Mar 30, 2026, 06:41:26 PM | TOI.in
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This is no longer just a regional conflict—it’s a calculated shift in how power is exercised in the modern world. Iran is no longer relying on direct confrontation or full-scale war. Instead, it is quietly reshaping global trade dynamics through a strategy built on control, uncertainty, and selective access.Following a major leadership transition, Tehran has moved quickly to assert influence over one of the world’s most critical maritime corridors. But instead of shutting it down completely, Iran has introduced a controlled system—allowing limited passage to friendly nations while effectively restricting others. This isn’t chaos. It’s precision.At the core of this strategy is asymmetric warfare. Iran doesn’t need large fleets or constant attacks to dominate the situation. With hidden missile systems, mobile launch platforms, and low-cost drones, it has created an environment where threats are unpredictable and ever-present. The goal isn’t destruction—it’s hesitation. Every decision made by opposing forces now carries risk.For the United States and its allies, reopening the route is far from simple. The battlefield is fluid, reaction times are short, and threats can appear without warning. Even a single disruption can undo significant military effort. This has already pushed many global shipping companies to step back, increasing pressure on supply chains and energy markets.

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