commodity exchange

Falling exchange rate can curb imports more effectively than austerity measures. Don't intervene in forex market

The Indian rupee hit a record low of 96.70 against the US dollar on Tuesday, extending its losing streak to eight sessions. Rising crude oil prices, foreign fund outflows, and a strong dollar due to global risk aversion are key factors. Forex traders also cited supply-chain disruptions. The Reserve Bank of India's intervention and import restrictions might offer some support.

In a bold move, the RJD has launched a scathing attack on the NDA administrations in Bihar and at the national level, decrying the recent spike in petrol and diesel prices. Party officials argue that the increase was deliberately delayed until after the assembly elections, unfairly placing the burden of inflation on everyday citizens.

The Indian rupee continued its decline against the US dollar, falling 18 paise to 96.38 amid rising crude oil prices and Middle East tensions. The currency has lost over 5% since late February, with concerns over geopolitical instability and foreign portfolio investor outflows pressuring its value.

In an effort to curb demand, India's finance ministry has doubled the customs duty on gold and silver to 15%, significantly increasing domestic prices. This move follows Prime Minister Modi's appeal to reduce gold purchases, as India is the world's second-largest buyer of the precious metal.

Gold and silver prices are expected to trade within a narrow band this week, with investors closely watching US-Iran peace talks and key global economic data. Analysts noted that while gold's momentum appears steady, silver shows positive movement. Geopolitical tensions and central bank buying are also influencing precious metal markets.

Rupee depreciation is not new, what is new however is the rapid pace at which it is falling. It’s the biggest risk for India’s external sector resilience at the moment. In just over a year, the rupee has depreciated over 14%.

India has significantly increased import duties on gold and silver to 15% from 6%, aiming to curb rising imports and conserve foreign exchange amid the West Asia crisis. This move follows Prime Minister Modi's appeal for austerity and aims to ease pressure on the rupee and the country's balance of payments.

The move to up the gold import duty comes days after PM Narendra Modi appeals to citizens to avoid unnecessary gold purchases for a year. But is a hike in duties an effective way to curb consumption? We take a look:

India faces a significant "live balance of payments stress test" due to the West Asian crisis, impacting inflation and currency, Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran stated. He emphasized that managing the current account and preventing currency depreciation are key macroeconomic goals for FY27.

The exuberance of Indian investors has pushed valuations so high that MNCs as well as PE/VC funds are seizing the opportunity to exit

No rationing; steps taken to avert shortage

The CEA’s words could not be more direct and the situation the world’s sixth largest economy faces is by no means small. Several macroeconomic indicators are in focus; inflation, health of the current account, and the exchange rate.