WASHINGTON: The lines have been longer and the crowds have been bigger to hear
Donald Trump throughout the Presidential campaign. But apparently, the turnout is bigger and the lines have been longer to vote for
Hillary Clinton.
Reports from across America in states that allow early voting indicates unprecedented enthusiasm, particularly among Latinos and other minorities, to record their votes – against Donald Trump, as much as for Hillary Clinton. Whether Trump's core constituency of white, less-educated voters, mostly male, will stir themselves to turnout in even bigger numbers could decide the fate of the elections.
America is browning rapidly, but white voters can still get their man into the White House, if they vote in a solid block. They are not. College educated white voters are breaking for Hillary Clinton (43-37).
Despite this, Trump can still win on the backs of nearly 60 million whites with no college degree who break 57-29 for him. But they are likely neutralized by overwhelming Black and Latino support for Clinton 82-6 and 75-20 respectively. There are approximately 27 million black voters and 22 million Hispanic voters in the current election cycle.
Minorities' support for Democrats has long been taken for granted, but turnout has been a problem in the past. Election Day (always a Tuesday) is not a holiday in the US and poorer voters, particularly those who work on daily and hourly wages and who have no transport access, have a hard time getting to polling stations.
This time though the Hillary Campaign has not only put in immense effort in registering Latino voters (the way the
Obama did with black voters in 2008 and 2012), but in also getting them out to voter. They have been only too happy to oblige – against a man who called them rapists and criminals, and has promised to build a wall on the Southern U.S border.
Just as Hillary Clinton is vulnerable to the anger of the working class whites, particularly over flight of jobs, and Obama care, Trump's weak spot is the minority vote.
If Trump loses, this election might well be called the Revenge of the Hispanics.