Where’s The War Going?

Jon B Alterman
Mar 19, 2026 | 21:12 IST

For Israel, it isn’t over till Iran’s regime is savagely weakened. For Iran, it isn’t over till the world feels unbearable pain. For Trump, it isn’t clear when and/or how he can say it’s over. Biggest risk: in 5 years, Iran can be like Libya or North Korea or Pakistan



Countries often go to war confident they know what’s coming. That certainty rarely survives the first battle. The fighting in Iran, today, is unusually complex. But, motivations driving it are relatively easy to trace. What’s much harder, to predict, are the outcomes, whether in the next few months, or next few years.
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