For peace, both US & Iran must realise neither’s position is as strong as they believe, nor is their adversary as weak as they would prefer. But they are not there yet
He’s got to understand he can’t dictate terms to war-hardened Iran. Tehran’s new leaders should know their strategy – endure & hope Trump gets fed up – is high-risk. No one can figure out how this impasse will end
By inflicting damage on US-Israel and disrupting everyday life in Washington’s Arab allies, it’s telling Trump that Tehran can endure more pain than his side. Ordinary Iranians are collateral, for both sides
He wanted to batter Iran to better Obama’s n-deal. Bibi didn’t want a deal. Hence US strikes. If Iran thinks US wants regime change, it won’t negotiate. Chaos may follow. Left to itself, Iran may undergo internal regime semi-change: younger Ayatollah, as authoritarian but less theocratic
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