Israel planned to galvanise opposition to the Iranian government to spark a collapse. Now, the belief that Israel and the US could help instigate widespread revolt in Iran seems to be a foundational flaw in the war
Trump aides underestimated Iran’s response to the US-Israel strikes, as Tehran’s threats in the Strait of Hormuz halted shipping and sent oil prices soaring. The disruption has exposed gaps in Washington’s war planning and intensified pressure to find a quick off-ramp from a conflict already rattling global energy markets.
Behind closed doors, Trump’s path to war with Iran was more deliberate than his shifting public rhetoric suggested. As diplomacy unfolded, preparations for a decisive strike were already well under way.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gambled that a strong Hamas (but not too strong) would keep the peace and reduce pressure for a Palestinian state
Israeli officials completely underestimated the magnitude of the October 7 attacks by Hamas, shattering the country’s once invincible sense of security
The use of spyware continues to proliferate globally, with experts documenting its use by at least 73 countries. Technology that once was in the hands of a small number of nations is now ubiquitous, transforming the landscape of government spying
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