When will BSE Sensex hit 1 lakh? Mark Mobius says ‘Indian markets will…’

| TOI Business Desk | TIMESOFINDIA.COM | May 29, 2024, 12:28 IST

Mark Mobius spoke about the recent record highs achieved by India... Read More

Mark Mobius, Chairman, Mobius Emerging Opportunities Fund believes that Indian markets will deliver 14-15% returns over the longer term. Mobius, a renowned investor, shared his insights on the potential returns from the Indian stock market over the next three to five years in an interview with ET Now.

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When asked about his expectations, Mobius stated, "Over the longer term, I believe you are talking about 14-15% returns for India." He explained that as a general rule of thumb, one can double the GDP growth rate of the market to estimate stock market returns. With India's real GDP growth at 7-8%, Mobius projects the stock market to deliver returns of 14-15-16% in the future.

Regarding the recent record highs achieved by Indian markets, such as the Sensex surpassing 75,000 points, Mobius was questioned about his earlier prediction of the Sensex hitting the one lakh mark.

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When asked if he expects this milestone to be reached within the next 12 to 18 months, Mobius said, "I would not say the next 18 months, but as I mentioned when I first made that prediction, within the next few years."

Mobius also noted that the global markets, including the US, have been performing well, and the Indian market has been keeping pace. In some months, India outperforms the US, while in others, the US takes the lead, he said.

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Mobius is of the view that there is still significant potential for growth in the global market, and the increasing interest in equities worldwide, especially in the US, is benefiting India as well. As investors in the US make substantial profits, they seek to diversify their portfolios globally, and India has become one of the most attractive destinations for investment, he added.

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Despite the strong performance of the Indian market, there has been a notable outflow of foreign institutional investors (FIIs), with a year-to-date selloff figure of $3.3 billion.

Mobius says that this can be attributed, in part, to hedge fund activity. However, it is essential not to focus too heavily on these short-term movements, he said.

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“At the end of the day, you are going to be getting a lot of long-term money, not only in the equity market, not only in the fixed income market, but in direct investment in manufacturing and distribution and other areas. India is a huge market and there are lots of opportunities for global investors.They are going to take advantage of that opportunity,” he said.

Top 10 Largest Economies In The World

Top 10 Largest Economies In The World: India is all set to become the world’s third largest economy in the coming few years. But what is India’s current ranking in the world’s top 10 economies by nominal GDP size? Where do America and China stand? Did you know that at the current level, the USA's GDP is 7 times that of India? As per the latest IMF data sourced from EY, we take a look the world’s top 10 economies and their projected GDP in the coming years: (AI image)

The United States of America or the USA leads the list of top 10 largest economies in terms of nominal GDP for the year 2023 as per IMF’s estimates. The GDP for 2023 stands at $27,357.825 billion and the expected GDP for 2024 is at $28,781.083 billion. The IMF outlook till 2029 predicts that America will continue to be the world’s largest economy, with an expected GDP of $34,950.012 billion. (AI image)

As of 2023, China’s GDP according to IMF estimates stands at $17,662.041 billion. In 2024, China’s GDP is expected to rise to $18,532.633 billion in 2024, moving to $24,842.337 billion in 2029. China is likely to maintain the tag of the world’s second largest economy. (AI image)

Germany stands at the third rank in the list of world’s largest economies with a GDP of $4,457.366 billion in 2023. In 2024, Germany’s GDP Is likely to be around $4,591.1 billion and in 2029 it will likely be near $5,358.074 billion. According to IMF estimates, Germany would lose the tag of the world’s third largest economy 2027 to India. (AI image)

Japan is the world’s fourth largest economy with a GDP of $4,212.944 billion in 2023. Japan’s nominal GDP has been declining for the last few years and by 2025 it is likely to lose the spot of the 4th largest economy to India. In 2029, Japan’s GDP is expected to be around $4,944.744 billion. (AI image)

India is the fifth largest economy in the world with a GDP of $3,572.078 billion in 2023 according to the latest IMF data. In 2024, India’s GDP is expected to be $3,937.011 billion and in 2025 it will likely become the fourth largest economy with a GDP of $4,339.83 billion. IMF estimates predict that in 2027, India will beat Germany to become the third largest world economy with a GDP of $5,287.04 billion. By 2029, India’s GDP is expected to be around $6,436.653 billion. (AI image)

The United Kingdom or UK, with a GDP of $3,344.744 billion in 2023, is the sixth largest economy in the world. In 2024, its GDP is expected to be near $3495.261 billion and by 2029 the nominal GDP would be around $4661.463 billion, according to IMF projections. (AI image)

France is the world’s seventh largest economy with a GDP of $3,031.778 billion in 2023. Its nominal GDP is expected to grow to $3,130.014 billion in 2024 and reach $3,645.286 billion by 2029, predicts the IMF. (AI image)

With a GDP of $2,255.503 billion, Italy is the 8th largest economy in the world as per IMF’s 2023 data. Italy’s economy is expected to reach a size of $2,328.028 billion in 2024 and $2,625.878 billion by 2029. According to IMF estimates, in 2024 Italy will slip a level in rankings to 9th spot with Brazil moving up. (AI image)

Brazil is currently the world’s ninth largest economy with a nominal GDP of $2,173.671 billion in 2023. In 2024, it is expected to become the 8th largest economy with a GDP of $2,331.391 billion, leaving behind Italy. By 2029, it will likely have a GDP of $3,058.227 billion. (AI image)

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Top Comment

User

210 days ago

There is ZERO chance of Modiji not becoming Prime Minister again after June 4th. BJP will overtake the 400 seat win on its own and along with NDA allies Modiji will form government with total support of 480 to 500 MPs. Even in case of worst scenario where NDA falls short of majority, BJP can easily ensure that opposition parties implode and split vertically and majority groups join NDA, just like Maharashtra and Goa. Narendra Modi ji and Amit Shah ji have also assured the investors that Indian Share Markets will see phenomenal unprecedented boom on 4th June. So, retail investors can look forward to huge gains.

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